Hong Kong Securities Regulatory Commission: The quarterly loss from July to September narrowed sharply year-on-year, with a net inflow of 664.3 billion yuan from Hong Kong Stock Connect so far this year.Fuli Zong took the helm for 100 days: the management, dealers and product ideas were completely adjusted. At the end of August this year, Fuli Zong took over the legal representative, chairman and general manager of Hangzhou Wahaha Group Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Wahaha") from his father Zong Qinghou, and took over 29.40% of the company's shares. By early December, more than three months had passed. In just 100 days, Fuli Zong, who is in charge of Wahaha, has implemented a series of controversial reform measures, including adjusting the organizational structure and almost completely replacing the core management; The employee contract and distributor contract of the core department were signed to Hongsheng Beverage Group Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Hongsheng Beverage"); Reconstruct the dealer system, and even select the dealers in the form of "bidding" for the first time ... On December 11 -12, I called Ye Yaqiong, director of the president's office and director of the government affairs center of Wahaha Group, and contacted Wahaha public affairs related people to send them an interview outline, but as of press time, I did not get a reply. (21 Finance)Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.
EDI SUSIANTO, Executive Director of the Bank of Indonesia: The decline of the Indonesian rupiah was affected by global sentiment and the rise of the US dollar.Morgan Stanley Xing Ziqiang: China can fully withstand the improvement of the central financial deficit ratio. On December 13th, Xing Ziqiang, chief economist of Morgan Stanley China, said at the "Caijing Annual Meeting 2025: Forecast and Strategy" and the 2024 Global Wealth Management Forum that the Central Economic Work Conference broke the previous mindset of fiscal prudence. It is predicted that the budget of deficit ratio will reach a higher level next year, and may even exceed the level of 2020 (above 3.6%). With China's relatively strong national balance sheet, it can fully withstand the relatively high deficit ratio of the central government. Most other countries in the world have abandoned the so-called deficit ratio constraint of around 3% after facing the downturn of the real estate market and other factors.Macao held a public sacrifice ceremony to mourn the victims of the Nanjing Massacre, and December 13th, 2024 was the 11th national public sacrifice day for the victims of the Nanjing Massacre. On the morning of the same day, the Macao SAR Government held a ceremony at the Institute of Environmental Protection and Security Forces, deeply mourning the victims of the Nanjing Massacre and all the compatriots killed by the Japanese aggressors. (CCTV)
Ping An Securities: It is estimated that the overall net profit growth rate of listed banks will be 1% in 2025. Ping An Securities released the annual strategy report of the banking industry in 2025, saying that looking forward to 2025, the insufficient effective demand and the continuous pressure on asset-side pricing level are still important factors restricting the upward flexibility of bank profits. On the one hand, the inhibitory effect of insufficient effective demand on scale growth still exists, and it is estimated that the scale of new credit will be 17.9 trillion to 19.2 trillion yuan in 2025, corresponding to the year-end growth rate of 7.0%-7. On the other hand, the level of interest margin is also subject to the downward trend of asset-side pricing level, and factors such as LPR reduction, stock mortgage adjustment and implicit bond swap will continue to impact asset-side pricing. However, considering the acceleration of the reduction of deposit listing interest rate, the improvement of deposit repricing progress, and the supervision of manual interest payment and interbank liabilities, it is expected that the decline of interest margin will be slightly narrowed in 2025. In terms of asset quality, it is expected to remain stable, the policy will continue to exert its efforts to bottom out risks, the core indicators are expected to remain stable, and the provision is expected to continue to feed back the profit level. On the whole, it is estimated that the overall net profit growth rate of listed banks will be 1.0% in 2025. The idea of stock selection is "high dividend+pro-cyclical", and policy combination boxing promotes the repair of plate valuation.Bank of Indonesia: It intervened "quite boldly" when the Indonesian rupiah fell. As the Indonesian rupiah hit a four-month low and approached the key level of 16,000 rupiah to the dollar, the Indonesian central bank intervened more actively in the market on Friday. Edi Susianto, executive director of the Monetary and Asset Securities Management Department of the Bank of Indonesia, said by SMS that in order to maintain market confidence, the central bank entered the spot, domestic non-deliverable forwards (NDF) and national debt markets. The Indonesian rupiah fell 0.4% to 15,994 to the dollar in early trading on Friday, the weakest intraday level since August 8, and the worst weekly performance since mid-November.The space robot won the TGA annual game "Black Myth Wukong", the TGA award ceremony is in progress, and "Astro Bot" won the TGA annual game. Other nominated games include Black Myth: Wukong, Clown Card, Eldon Circle: The Shadow of Huang Jinshu, Final Fantasy 7: Rebirth, Metaphorical Fantasy: Refantazio. Cosmic Robot is a game work developed by Team ASOBI and released by Sony Interactive Entertainment. Players and ASTRO have launched a brand-new super-large adventure trip to explore more than 50 exciting and varied worlds. The release of the game coincides with the 30th anniversary of PlayStation game console, and a lot of tribute elements have been added to the game works, which has also become one of the reasons why the game attracts worldwide attention. (Sina Technology)
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14